Kalshi BTC 15-Minute Signal AI — V7

Forward forecast — at contract close

Forecast updates as data arrives. It is an estimate, not a certainty.

V6 pattern learning — adaptive, not magic

Each market's first forecast is stored. After settlement, label the true outcome. V6 tracks overall and recent accuracy, Brier score, and patterns; it only nudges future probabilities when enough comparable labeled examples exist. Memory stays in this browser unless you export/import it.

Mark the selected market only after its result is final:

Learning requires completed, correctly labeled markets. Never label a market early.

V7 · Historical 30-day replay & backtest

Fetches public settled KXBTC15M markets and one-minute contract candles where available. It replays a simple signal at several minutes before close, then compares the predicted YES/NO outcome with the settled result. Historical data may be incomplete or rate-limited; this does not connect to the official CF Benchmarks spot settlement index.

Backtest is an approximation, not a simulated executable strategy. It excludes unavailable order-book depth, exact fees, slippage, and official settlement-index history. Results are not a promise of future performance.

Notes

V6 is an experimental adaptive pattern model, not a validated trading system. It learns only from user-labeled completed markets and reports past accuracy; past accuracy does not ensure future performance. Public market data is fetched through the hosted proxy. Confirm each market's settlement rules and actual fees. No trades are placed.